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Leicester City are firm and rightful favourites at a price of 13/10 (2.30) with Coral, whilst Leeds United are outsiders at 12/5 (3.40) with SpreadEx. The draw is priced at 11/4 (3.74) with Pinnacle.
There’s no doubt in my mind as a punter, if you’re looking at this from a betting point of view, you’d be silly to bet Leeds given that a Tuesday night win for us in the League has now been absence since August of last year.
The last time Leeds United won on a Tuesday, Robert Snodgrass and Ramon Nunez were on the score sheet. I don’t look at this game and base it on overall recent form, because we’ve shown we can easily see off the top sides after the weekend.
However, it’s a stand out trend and as stupid as it is – it’s now long standing and although it’s bound to go out the window at some time, and probably in dramatic fashion against a top side, it’s still something worth considering.
Leicester are third in the table and have been in consistently good form all season – but so were Palace.
Despite that good form, however, the Foxes have only won three of their nine away games this season. Five of those games have seen 2-1 score lines, and in that instance Leicester have lost out on four occasions.
In their two wins and two draws, there has been two or less goals. That puts the goals total completely in the balance after it took all of 85 minutes to get the 3rd on Saturday, after the score was 0-0 at half time, and considering Leeds United games have generally gone under lately.
The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 10/11 (1.94) with Marathon and the under 2.5 goals market is a similarly priced 21/20 (2.05) with BetVictor.
I personally won’t be touching that market – but if you like a goal bet then my personal lean would be towards their being 4 or more goals. We looked a completely different side on the weekend with the new owners and Leicester are easily capable of 2 goals.
It’s a hard game to look at and when you’re being asked to pick multiple bets for the same team every week of the season it’s simply not possible. Some games you look at, and there’s nothing there. For me that’s probably this game.
Leicester are a possibility and will be on everyone’s coupons I assure you, 50/50 shot there given their away form. Goals are a possibility, 50/50 shot there. The one single tip I’ve picked out is on the back of the history of the fixture and stand out stat in Leeds United home games this year.
Leicester and Leeds has always been something of an intense game. Going back years it was, and going back to Leicester’s League One promotion season it was. It still is now. Leicester quite simply have a knack of winning at Elland Road.
In our last five Championship meetings there have been seven goals in the 70th minute or later. At Elland Road this season, in nine league games, there have been an incredible 12 goals in the last 15 minutes of games. I’m only taking one bet in this game and it’s pretty stand out.
Tips:
A goal to be score in the 75th minute or later: Yes @ 1.95 with William Hill
That’s my more confident pick. As a result of Saturdays corner winner, I think it pays to have a go at that market again, given we’ve got a home side with a new confidence (I think) and a good, 3rd place side. Both will attack and given Leeds’ resilience on Saturday, I can see Leicester at least forcing a lot of corners here, and if Leeds chip in 3-5 that’d certainly help.
12 or more corners @ 1.83 with Bet365